Pitch Radar

Crystal Palace — Newcastle United 0:2

Crystal Palace
0:2
Newcastle United
EPL · 25 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score0:2
Home xG2.03Crystal Palace
Away xG1.30Newcastle United
Expected points1.84 : 0.94

Who deserved it

Crystal Palace created more (2.03 xG against 1.30) and left with nothing.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Crystal Palace02.03−2.01.84
Newcastle United21.30+0.70.94

Goals

MinuteGoalTeamShot xGAssist
46'William OsulaNewcastle United0.51Jacob Murphy
57'Harvey BarnesNewcastle United0.12Amar Dedic

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
2'Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace0.71saved, from a set piece
46'William OsulaNewcastle United0.51goal
53'Harvey BarnesNewcastle United0.37blocked

Shots: Crystal Palace 17, Newcastle United 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Crystal Palace 1.86, Newcastle United 0.18: a big edge for Crystal Palace. In the second half xG was Crystal Palace 0.36, Newcastle United 1.13: a small edge for Newcastle United. The edge in chances passed from Crystal Palace to Newcastle United. Crystal Palace scored 0 from 2.03 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Crystal Palace: −2.5 for the season (20 in the table). Newcastle United: +2.1 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All EPL matches with xG →