Leeds United — Brentford 1:1

Leeds United

1:1

Brentford

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.46.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Leeds United	1	1.15	−0.1	1.06
Brentford	1	1.61	−0.6	1.69

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
40'	Kevin Schade	Brentford	0.11	Keane Lewis-Potter
78'	Dominic Calvert-Lewin	Leeds United	0.77	Lukas Nmecha

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
78'	Dominic Calvert-Lewin	Leeds United	0.77	goal
80'	Thiago	Brentford	0.54	off target
0'	Kevin Schade	Brentford	0.11	blocked

Shots: Leeds United 12, Brentford 22; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Leeds United 0.05, Brentford 0.65: a small edge for Brentford. In the second half xG was Leeds United 1.13, Brentford 1.08: about even.

How it fits the season

Leeds United: +0.1 for the season (9 in the table). Brentford: +0.9 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Sunderland — Fulham 1:0Chelsea — Brighton 4:3Manchester United — Ipswich Town 5:2

All EPL matches with xG →