Pitch Radar

Chelsea — Brighton 4:3

EPL · 30 Aug 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score4:3
Home xG3.83Chelsea
Away xG1.79Brighton
Expected points2.34 : 0.54

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Chelsea was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Chelsea43.83+0.22.34
Brighton31.79+1.20.54

How it fits the season

Chelsea: +0.9 for the season (10 in the table). Brighton: +0.8 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All EPL matches with xG →