Sunderland — Fulham 1:0

Sunderland

1:0

Fulham

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Sunderland was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Sunderland	1	1.56	−0.6	1.75
Fulham	0	1.02	−1.0	1.00

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
74'	Wilson Isidor	Sunderland	0.45	Habib Diarra

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
70'	Wilson Isidor	Sunderland	0.54	hit the woodwork
74'	Wilson Isidor	Sunderland	0.45	goal
56'	Gonzalo García	Fulham	0.32	blocked

Shots: Sunderland 12, Fulham 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Sunderland 0.15, Fulham 0.30: about even. In the second half xG was Sunderland 1.40, Fulham 0.72: a small edge for Sunderland. Fulham scored 0 from 1.02 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Sunderland: −6.2 for the season (19 in the table). Fulham: −3.9 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Chelsea — Brighton 4:3Leeds United — Brentford 1:1Manchester United — Ipswich Town 5:2

All EPL matches with xG →