The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Manchester United was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 5 | 4.87 | +0.1 | 2.59 |
| Ipswich Town | 2 | 1.81 | +0.2 | 0.33 |
Manchester United: −3.4 for the season (12 in the table). Ipswich Town: +0.3 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.