The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Atlético Madrid are favourites: 65% to win against 18%. Attack against defence: Atlético Madrid should create more, 1.88 expected goals a match against 1.52. Read the table with care: Atlético Madrid have taken 6.3 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | 2 | 10 | 25 | 18.6 | +6.3 | 1.97 | 1.22 |
| Real Betis | 4 | 10 | 20 | 14.1 | +5.9 | 1.82 | 1.79 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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