Real Betis
OsasunaThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Real Betis was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2.66 | +2.3 | 2.25 | |
| 2 | 1.15 | +0.9 | 0.59 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9' | Isco (penalty) | 0.74 | ||
| 30' | Abdessamad Ezzalzouli | 0.35 | Juan Camilo Hernández | |
| 47' | Ante Budimir (own goal) | — | ||
| 50' | Ante Budimir | 0.35 | Rubén García | |
| 55' | Raul García | 0.50 | Alejandro Catena | |
| 66' | Isco | 0.44 | ||
| 95' | José Antonio Morante | 0.04 | Héctor Bellerín |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55' | Raul García | 0.50 | goal, from a corner | |
| 66' | Isco | 0.44 | goal | |
| 30' | Abdessamad Ezzalzouli | 0.35 | goal |
Shots: Real Betis 20, Osasuna 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 2.
In the first half xG was Real Betis 1.72, Osasuna 0.20: a big edge for Real Betis. In the second half xG was Real Betis 0.95, Osasuna 0.94: about even. Real Betis scored 5 from 2.66 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Real Betis: +7.9 for the season (4 in the table). Osasuna: −2.8 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.