Atlético Madrid vs Valencia: match prediction
Atlético MadridVS
ValenciaThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win70%Atlético Madrid
Draw19%
Away win11%Valencia
Expected points, home2.29
What to expect
Atlético Madrid are favourites: 70% to win against 11%. Attack against defence: Atlético Madrid should create more, 1.74 expected goals a match against 1.15. Read the table with care: Atlético Madrid have taken 7.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | 3 | 12 | 28 | 21.0 | +7.0 | 1.85 | 1.27 |
| Valencia | 19 | 12 | 9 | 12.7 | −3.7 | 1.02 | 1.63 |
Recent matches
Atletico Madrid — 
Barcelona 1:2
Levante — Atletico Madrid 0:2Atletico Madrid — 
Deportivo La Coruna 1:0
Espanyol — Atletico Madrid 0:1
Alaves — Atletico Madrid 1:2Valencia — 
Real Madrid 0:3
Elche — Valencia 0:1Valencia — 
Villarreal 1:2Valencia — 
Athletic Club 0:0
Racing Santander — Valencia 2:2Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions