Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid: match prediction
Celta VigoVS
Atlético MadridThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win32%Celta Vigo
Draw29%
Away win40%Atlético Madrid
Expected points, home1.23
What to expect
No clear favourite: 32% home, 29% draw, 40% away. Attack against defence: Atlético Madrid should create more, 1.50 expected goals a match against 1.21. Read the table with care: Atlético Madrid have taken 7.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 11 | 12 | 13 | 15.7 | −2.7 | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| Atlético Madrid | 3 | 12 | 28 | 21.0 | +7.0 | 1.85 | 1.27 |
Recent matches
Celta Vigo — 
Levante 0:0
Rayo Vallecano — Celta Vigo 3:0Celta Vigo — 
Real Betis 0:0Celta Vigo — 
Alaves 2:1
Elche — Celta Vigo 0:0Atletico Madrid — 
Barcelona 1:2Levante — Atletico Madrid 0:2Atletico Madrid — 
Deportivo La Coruna 1:0
Espanyol — Atletico Madrid 0:1Alaves — Atletico Madrid 1:2Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions