Pitch Radar

Espanyol vs Getafe: what the numbers say

LaLiga · Round 14 · 29 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win58%Espanyol
Draw26%
Away win16%Getafe
Expected points, home2.01

What to expect

Espanyol are favourites: 58% to win against 16%. Attack against defence: Espanyol should create more, 1.48 expected goals a match against 1.11. Espanyol are 4.0 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Espanyol129812.0−4.01.251.41
Getafe14886.8+1.20.811.71

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table →