Getafe
Getafe
Atlético MadridAtlético Madrid · at home, 22 Nov 2026
Win 16% · draw 23% · defeat 61%
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.
Points. 12 points from 10.6 xPTS (+1.4). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 19th in the league, but 15th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance finishing falls short (−1.9 vs xG), but fewer goals conceded than expected (−1.7 vs xGA) — one cancels the other.
Attack. 0.82 xG per match — 20th of 20 (league average 1.57): creates less in front of goal than anyone in the league. Scored 8 goals from 9.9 xG — 19% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.
Defence. 1.64 xGA per match — 12th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.57): mid-table for chances allowed. Conceded 18 goals from 19.7 xGA — 9% fewer than expected. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.
Playing to its level. Points (12) are close to the quality of play (10.6 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.00 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.01. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.0 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| home | 2026-11-22 | 16% | 23% | 61% | 0.71 | |
| away | 2026-11-29 | 19% | 29% | 52% | 0.85 | |
| home | 2026-12-06 | 34% | 32% | 34% | 1.35 | |
| away | 2026-12-13 | 17% | 22% | 61% | 0.73 | |
| home | 2026-12-20 | 38% | 27% | 35% | 1.40 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Getafe and it will write when results and performance diverge.
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.
| Place | Club | P | Points | xPTS | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | 12 | 15.1 | −3.1 | |
| 14 | 11 | 12 | 13.5 | −1.5 | |
| 15 | 12 | 12 | 10.6 | +1.4 | |
| 16 | 12 | 12 | 14.8 | −2.8 | |
| 17 | 12 | 11 | 11.3 | −0.3 |