Pitch Radar

Levante vs Alavés: match prediction

Levante
VS
Alavés
LaLiga · Round 16 · 13 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win30%Levante
Draw24%
Away win46%Alavés
Expected points, home1.14

What to expect

A slight edge to Alavés: 46% against 30%. Attack against defence: Alavés should create more, 1.79 expected goals a match against 1.37. Alavés are 3.8 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Levante17121111.3−0.31.342.22
Alavés12121316.8−3.81.361.40

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions