The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Deportivo La Coruña: 44% against 33%. Attack against defence: Deportivo La Coruña should create more, 1.79 expected goals a match against 1.44. Deportivo La Coruña are 2.4 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11.9 | −0.9 | 1.43 | 2.14 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13.4 | −2.4 | 1.44 | 1.46 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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