Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano: match prediction
VillarrealVS
Rayo VallecanoThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win74%Villarreal
Draw15%
Away win11%Rayo Vallecano
Expected points, home2.36
What to expect
Villarreal are favourites: 74% to win against 11%. Attack against defence: Villarreal should create more, 1.98 expected goals a match against 1.34. Villarreal are 7.0 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 8 | 12 | 15 | 22.0 | −7.0 | 2.24 | 1.28 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13.5 | −1.5 | 1.40 | 1.72 |
Recent matches
Villarreal — 
Getafe 2:0Villarreal — 
Espanyol 0:1
Valencia — Villarreal 1:2Villarreal — 
Elche 0:0
Real Madrid — Villarreal 1:0
Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano 1:0Rayo Vallecano — 
Celta Vigo 3:0Rayo Vallecano — Elche 0:3Getafe — Rayo Vallecano 1:1
Osasuna — Rayo Vallecano 1:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions