Angers — Lille 0:2

Angers

0:2

Lille

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Angers created more (1.86 xG against 1.21) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Angers	0	1.86	−1.9	1.80
Lille	2	1.21	+0.8	0.97

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
10'	Olivier Giroud	Lille	0.03	Nabil Bentaleb
30'	Tiago Santos	Lille	0.43

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
94'	Prosper Peter	Angers	0.47	off target, header, from a corner
30'	Ethan Mbappé	Lille	0.46	blocked
58'	Prosper Peter	Angers	0.32	saved

Shots: Angers 20, Lille 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Angers 0.40, Lille 1.16: a small edge for Lille. In the second half xG was Angers 1.44, Lille 0.26: a clear edge for Angers. The edge in chances passed from Lille to Angers. Angers scored 0 from 1.86 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Angers: −1.6 for the season (16 in the table). Lille: +7.3 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Le Havre — Monaco 0:1Paris Saint-Germain — Rennes 2:2

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →