The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.28.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 0 | 0.63 | −0.6 | 1.08 |
| Rennes | 0 | 0.91 | −0.9 | 1.57 |
Paris Saint-Germain: −1.7 for the season (6 in the table). Rennes: +2.5 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.