Angers
Paris FC
AngersParis FC · away, 22 Nov 2026
Win 7% · draw 14% · defeat 79%
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.
Points. 8 points from 9.6 xPTS (−1.6). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 18th in the league, but 16th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance finishing falls short (−4.1 vs xG), but fewer goals conceded than expected (−1.6 vs xGA) — one cancels the other.
Attack. 1.31 xG per match — 13th of 18 (league average 1.59): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 9 goals from 13.1 xG — 31% fewer than expected. Finishing is clearly below par — the chances are the same, so the goals will probably follow.
Defence. 2.06 xGA per match — 16th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.59): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 19 goals from 20.6 xGA — 8% fewer than expected. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.
Playing to its level. Points (8) are close to the quality of play (9.6 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 0.80 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 0.85. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 4.2 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| away | 2026-11-22 | 7% | 14% | 79% | 0.36 | |
| home | 2026-11-28 | 26% | 21% | 53% | 0.99 | |
| away | 2026-12-05 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 1.00 | |
| home | 2026-12-12 | 38% | 24% | 37% | 1.40 | |
| away | 2027-01-02 | 11% | 16% | 73% | 0.50 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Angers and it will write when results and performance diverge.
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.
| Place | Club | P | Points | xPTS | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 10 | 10 | 10.4 | −0.4 | |
| 15 | 10 | 8 | 9.7 | −1.7 | |
| 16 | 10 | 8 | 9.6 | −1.6 | |
| 17 | 10 | 8 | 10.8 | −2.8 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 10.0 | −8.0 |