Auxerre — Brest 2:1

Auxerre

2:1

Brest

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Auxerre was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Auxerre	2	0.77	+1.2	1.75
Brest	1	0.30	+0.7	0.83

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
22'	Pathé Mboup	Brest	0.04	Joris Chotard
46'	Cameron Archer	Auxerre	0.40	Danny Namaso
82'	Raphaël Le Guen (own goal)	Auxerre	—

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
46'	Cameron Archer	Auxerre	0.40	goal
92'	Lamine Sy	Auxerre	0.14	blocked
78'	Danny Namaso	Auxerre	0.07	saved

Shots: Auxerre 11, Brest 8; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Auxerre 0.02, Brest 0.29: about even. In the second half xG was Auxerre 0.74, Brest 0.02: a small edge for Auxerre. Auxerre scored 2 from 0.77 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Auxerre: −0.4 for the season (14 in the table). Brest: −3.8 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Nice — Lille 2:1Marseille — Paris Saint-Germain 1:2

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →