Marseille
Paris Saint-GermainThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Paris Saint-Germain was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.87 | −0.9 | 0.38 | |
| 2 | 4.67 | −2.7 | 2.52 |
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65' | Ferrán Torres | 0.40 | Désiré Doué | |
| 71' | Angel Gomes | 0.46 | Amine Gouiri | |
| 73' | Marquinhos | 0.18 |
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55' | João Neves | 0.54 | off target, header | |
| 95' | Naif Aguerd | 0.50 | off target, header | |
| 61' | Neal Maupay | 0.49 | blocked |
Shots: Marseille 12, Paris Saint-Germain 31; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 7.
In the first half xG was Marseille 0.18, Paris Saint-Germain 1.09: a clear edge for Paris Saint-Germain. In the second half xG was Marseille 1.69, Paris Saint-Germain 3.67: a big edge for Paris Saint-Germain. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Paris Saint-Germain scored 2 from 4.67 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
Marseille: +5.6 for the season (4 in the table). Paris Saint-Germain: +2.9 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.