Le Havre — Brest 1:2

Le Havre

1:2

Brest

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Brest was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Le Havre	1	1.61	−0.6	0.71
Brest	2	3.01	−1.0	2.13

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
11'	Kamory Doumbia (penalty)	Brest	0.76
50'	Kamory Doumbia	Brest	0.62	Mama Baldé
78'	Rayan Fofana (penalty)	Le Havre	0.76

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
50'	Kamory Doumbia	Brest	0.62	goal
62'	Kamory Doumbia	Brest	0.57	off target
90'	Joris Chotard	Brest	0.14	saved

Shots: Le Havre 18, Brest 19; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Le Havre 0.46, Brest 1.18: a small edge for Brest. In the second half xG was Le Havre 1.16, Brest 1.84: a small edge for Brest. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Brest scored 2 from 3.01 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Le Havre: −8.0 for the season (18 in the table). Brest: −3.8 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Lens — Lorient 0:1Nice — Le Mans 1:1

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →