Lens — Lorient 0:1

Lens

0:1

Lorient

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Lens created more (1.10 xG against 1.03) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lens	0	1.10	−1.1	1.41
Lorient	1	1.03	−0.0	1.30

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
53'	Mamadou Koné	Lorient	0.54	Panos Katseris

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
53'	Mamadou Koné	Lorient	0.54	goal
28'	Florian Thauvin	Lens	0.37	off target, header
59'	Jean-Victor Makengo	Lorient	0.13	off target

Shots: Lens 17, Lorient 8; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lens 0.66, Lorient 0.19: a small edge for Lens. In the second half xG was Lens 0.44, Lorient 0.85: a small edge for Lorient. The edge in chances passed from Lens to Lorient. Lens scored 0 from 1.10 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Lens: −1.9 for the season (11 in the table). Lorient: −0.4 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Nice — Le Mans 1:1Le Havre — Brest 1:2

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →