Nice — Le Mans 1:1

Nice

1:1

Le Mans

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.07.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Nice	1	1.25	−0.2	1.41
Le Mans	1	1.18	−0.2	1.31

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
12'	Adil Bourabaa	Le Mans	0.02	Jean Vercruysse
43'	Sepe Elye Wahi	Nice	0.48	Sofiane Diop

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
86'	Louis Mafouta	Le Mans	0.66	hit the woodwork
43'	Sepe Elye Wahi	Nice	0.48	goal
28'	Axel Witsel	Nice	0.44	off target, header, from a corner

Shots: Nice 8, Le Mans 8; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Nice 0.94, Le Mans 0.07: a clear edge for Nice. In the second half xG was Nice 0.31, Le Mans 1.11: a clear edge for Le Mans. The edge in chances passed from Nice to Le Mans.

How it fits the season

Nice: +5.3 for the season (6 in the table). Le Mans: −1.7 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Lens — Lorient 0:1Le Havre — Brest 1:2

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →