Lyon — Le Havre 1:1

Lyon

1:1

Le Havre

Ligue 1 · 29 Aug 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score1:1

Home xG2.31Lyon

Away xG1.10Le Havre

Expected points2.12 : 0.69

Who deserved it

A draw, but Lyon created more (2.31 xG against 1.10) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lyon	1	2.31	−1.3	2.12
Le Havre	1	1.10	−0.1	0.69

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
73'	Mbwana Samatta	Le Havre	0.48	Fodé Doucouré
86'	Loïs Openda	Lyon	0.53	Zachary Athekame

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
86'	Loïs Openda	Lyon	0.53	goal, from a corner
73'	Mbwana Samatta	Le Havre	0.48	goal, header
12'	Corentin Tolisso	Lyon	0.42	off target

Shots: Lyon 15, Le Havre 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 5 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lyon 0.77, Le Havre 0.44: a small edge for Lyon. In the second half xG was Lyon 1.65, Le Havre 0.67: a clear edge for Lyon. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Lyon scored 1 from 2.31 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.