Strasbourg — Lens 2:1

Strasbourg

2:1

Lens

Ligue 1 · 29 Aug 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score2:1

Home xG1.86Strasbourg

Away xG2.95Lens

Expected points0.86 : 1.97

Who deserved it

Strasbourg won against the run of chances: Lens created more (2.95 xG against 1.86).

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Strasbourg	2	1.86	+0.1	0.86
Lens	1	2.95	−2.0	1.97

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
37'	Florian Thauvin (penalty)	Lens	0.76
47'	Gessime Yassine	Strasbourg	0.07	Sebastian Nanasi
84'	Gessime Yassine	Strasbourg	0.58	Sebastian Nanasi

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
25'	Matthieu Udol	Lens	0.67	blocked
84'	Gessime Yassine	Strasbourg	0.58	goal
20'	Michaël Cuisance	Lens	0.38	saved

Shots: Strasbourg 16, Lens 17; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Strasbourg 0.77, Lens 2.26: a clear edge for Lens. In the second half xG was Strasbourg 1.06, Lens 0.69: a small edge for Strasbourg. The edge in chances passed from Lens to Strasbourg. Lens scored 1 from 2.95 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.