The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Strasbourg won against the run of chances: Lens created more (2.95 xG against 1.86).
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 2 | 1.86 | +0.1 | 0.86 |
| Lens | 1 | 2.95 | −2.0 | 1.97 |
Strasbourg: +2.4 for the season (8 in the table). Lens: −4.8 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.