Brest — Toulouse 2:2

Brest

2:2

Toulouse

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Brest created more (3.65 xG against 1.31) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Brest	2	3.65	−1.6	2.50
Toulouse	2	1.31	+0.7	0.39

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
8'	Jacen Russell-Rowe	Toulouse	0.38	Yann Gboho
17'	Kamory Doumbia	Brest	0.40	Mamady Diambou
61'	Christ Tapé	Toulouse	0.44	Cristian Cásseres Jr.
94'	Ludovic Ajorque	Brest	0.43	Hugo Magnetti

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
50'	Pathé Mboup	Brest	0.62	hit the woodwork, header, from a set piece
90'	Lucas Tousart	Brest	0.56	hit the woodwork, header, from a corner
61'	Christ Tapé	Toulouse	0.44	goal, header, from a set piece

Shots: Brest 26, Toulouse 6; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 6 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Brest 0.71, Toulouse 0.85: about even. In the second half xG was Brest 3.32, Toulouse 0.46: a big edge for Brest. Brest scored 2 from 3.65 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Brest: −3.8 for the season (9 in the table). Toulouse: −5.0 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Strasbourg — Lens 2:1Auxerre — Angers 1:3Lorient — Troyes 1:2Lyon — Le Havre 1:1

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →