Lyon

Next match

Lille · away, 21 Nov 2026
Win 41% · draw 27% · defeat 33%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A kind run.

What the numbers say

Points. 17 points from 16.2 xPTS (+0.8). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 6th in the league, but 5th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance fewer goals conceded than expected (−3.0 vs xGA), but finishing falls short (−1.7 vs xG) — one cancels the other.

Attack. 1.67 xG per match — 8th of 18 (league average 1.59): an average attack for this league. Scored 15 goals from 16.7 xG — 10% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.

Defence. 1.19 xGA per match — 3rd of 18 for solidity (league average 1.59): allows few chances near its own goal. Conceded 9 goals from 11.9 xGA — 25% fewer than expected. Part of these clean sheets rests on luck rather than defending.

Playing to its level. Points (17) are close to the quality of play (16.2 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.70 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.85. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 9.3 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Lyon and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league