The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.10.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1 | 0.67 | +0.3 | 1.23 |
| Monaco | 1 | 0.77 | +0.2 | 1.39 |
Strasbourg: +2.4 for the season (8 in the table). Monaco: +6.2 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.