Troyes — Lens 1:3

Troyes

1:3

Lens

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Lens was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Troyes	1	1.47	−0.5	1.15
Lens	3	1.85	+1.1	1.63

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
12'	Adrien Monfray (own goal)	Lens	—
26'	Timothee Nkada	Troyes	0.54
46'	Odsonne Edouard	Lens	0.60	Florian Thauvin
54'	Ruben Aguilar	Lens	0.64	Florian Thauvin

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
54'	Ruben Aguilar	Lens	0.64	goal, header
46'	Odsonne Edouard	Lens	0.60	goal
26'	Timothee Nkada	Troyes	0.54	goal

Shots: Troyes 12, Lens 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Troyes 0.79, Lens 0.44: a small edge for Troyes. In the second half xG was Troyes 0.67, Lens 1.40: a small edge for Lens. The edge in chances passed from Troyes to Lens. Lens scored 3 from 1.85 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Troyes: −2.8 for the season (17 in the table). Lens: −1.9 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain 1:3Lille — Brest 1:1

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →