Pitch Radar

Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain 1:3

Strasbourg
1:3
Paris Saint-Germain
Ligue 1 · 17 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score1:3
Home xG1.31Strasbourg
Away xG2.36Paris Saint-Germain
Expected points0.80 : 2.01

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Paris Saint-Germain was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Strasbourg11.31−0.30.80
Paris Saint-Germain32.36+0.62.01

Goals

MinuteGoalTeamShot xGAssist
16'Giovanni ReynaStrasbourg0.04Gessime Yassine
76'Illia ZabarnyiParis Saint-Germain0.41Ousmane Dembélé
84'Ousmane DembéléParis Saint-Germain0.06
92'Désiré DouéParis Saint-Germain0.15Ferrán Torres

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
46'Conrad HarderStrasbourg0.42off target
76'Illia ZabarnyiParis Saint-Germain0.41goal, from a corner
8'Maghnes AklioucheParis Saint-Germain0.36off target

Shots: Strasbourg 16, Paris Saint-Germain 18; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Strasbourg 0.45, Paris Saint-Germain 0.68: about even. In the second half xG was Strasbourg 0.86, Paris Saint-Germain 1.69: a clear edge for Paris Saint-Germain.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Strasbourg: −0.3 for the season (13 in the table). Paris Saint-Germain: +2.9 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →