The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Paris Saint-Germain are favourites: 65% to win against 16%. Attack against defence: Paris Saint-Germain should create more, 2.05 expected goals a match against 1.23. Read the table with care: Strasbourg have taken 2.4 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 7 | 4.6 | +2.4 | 1.29 | 1.92 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 5 | 8 | 9.7 | −1.7 | 2.19 | 1.16 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.