The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Akron Tolyatti was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron Tolyatti | 2 | 1.06 | +0.9 | 1.73 |
| Akhmat Grozny | 0 | 0.59 | −0.6 | 0.94 |
Akron Tolyatti: −1.7 for the season (13 in the table). Akhmat Grozny: −1.5 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.