Dynamo Makhachkala — CSKA Moscow 1:3

Dynamo Makhachkala

1:3

CSKA Moscow

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: CSKA Moscow was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Dynamo Makhachkala	1	1.54	−0.5	1.12
CSKA Moscow	3	1.98	+1.0	1.66

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
12'	Makhmudjon Makhamadjonov (own goal)	CSKA Moscow	—
19'	Gamid Agalarov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.33	Egor Smelov
68'	Luciano Gondou	CSKA Moscow	0.58	Ivan Oleynikov
78'	Imran Firov	CSKA Moscow	0.31	Matvey Kislyak

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
68'	Luciano Gondou	CSKA Moscow	0.58	goal
52'	Andrés Alarcón	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.54	hit the woodwork
92'	Luciano Gondou	CSKA Moscow	0.44	saved, header

Shots: Dynamo Makhachkala 11, CSKA Moscow 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Dynamo Makhachkala 0.44, CSKA Moscow 0.08: a small edge for Dynamo Makhachkala. In the second half xG was Dynamo Makhachkala 1.35, CSKA Moscow 1.89: a small edge for CSKA Moscow. The edge in chances passed from Dynamo Makhachkala to CSKA Moscow. CSKA Moscow scored 3 from 1.98 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.6 for the season (11 in the table). CSKA Moscow: +2.7 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Orenburg — Krasnodar 0:0Rostov — Dynamo Moscow 0:3Akron Tolyatti — Akhmat Grozny 2:0

All RPL matches with xG →