The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: CSKA Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1.54 | −0.5 | 1.12 |
| CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1.98 | +1.0 | 1.66 |
Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.0 for the season (7 in the table). CSKA Moscow: +3.1 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.