The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Dynamo Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostov | 0 | 0.65 | −0.7 | 0.59 |
| Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1.84 | +1.2 | 2.19 |
Rostov: −1.6 for the season (12 in the table). Dynamo Moscow: +3.5 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.