Rostov — Dynamo Moscow 0:3
Rostov
Dynamo MoscowThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Dynamo Moscow was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostov | 0 | 0.65 | −0.7 | 0.59 |
| Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1.84 | +1.2 | 2.19 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34' | Konstantin Tyukavin | Dynamo Moscow | 0.53 | Iaroslav Gladyshev |
| 77' | Viktor Okishor | Dynamo Moscow | 0.05 | Daniil Fomin |
| 87' | Konstantin Tyukavin (penalty) | Dynamo Moscow | 0.75 |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34' | Konstantin Tyukavin | Dynamo Moscow | 0.53 | goal |
| 5' | Konstantin Tyukavin | Dynamo Moscow | 0.14 | blocked |
| 57' | Bitelo | Dynamo Moscow | 0.12 | saved |
Shots: Rostov 12, Dynamo Moscow 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 2.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Rostov 0.33, Dynamo Moscow 0.84: a small edge for Dynamo Moscow. In the second half xG was Rostov 0.32, Dynamo Moscow 1.00: a small edge for Dynamo Moscow. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Dynamo Moscow scored 3 from 1.84 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.
How it fits the season
Rostov: +2.2 for the season (6 in the table). Dynamo Moscow: +7.3 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Orenburg — 
Krasnodar 0:0
Akron Tolyatti — 
Akhmat Grozny 2:0
Dynamo Makhachkala — 
CSKA Moscow 1:3