CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow 3:2

CSKA Moscow

3:2

Lokomotiv Moscow

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: CSKA Moscow was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
CSKA Moscow	3	2.57	+0.4	1.65
Lokomotiv Moscow	2	2.11	−0.1	1.16

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
21'	Aleksandr Silyanov	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.03	Zelimkhan Bakaev
28'	Luciano Gondou	CSKA Moscow	0.67	Matvey Kislyak
49'	Kirill Danilov	CSKA Moscow	0.08
67'	Matheus Alves	CSKA Moscow	0.40	Milan Gajic
74'	Sergei Pinyaev	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.26	Vadim Rakov

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
52'	Sergey Babkin	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.81	off target
28'	Luciano Gondou	CSKA Moscow	0.67	goal, header, from a corner
67'	Matheus Alves	CSKA Moscow	0.40	goal

Shots: CSKA Moscow 23, Lokomotiv Moscow 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was CSKA Moscow 1.61, Lokomotiv Moscow 0.05: a big edge for CSKA Moscow. In the second half xG was CSKA Moscow 0.99, Lokomotiv Moscow 2.05: a clear edge for Lokomotiv Moscow. The edge in chances passed from CSKA Moscow to Lokomotiv Moscow.

How it fits the season

CSKA Moscow: +2.7 for the season (5 in the table). Lokomotiv Moscow: −2.6 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Fakel Voronezh — Orenburg 0:0Akhmat Grozny — Rostov 4:1

All RPL matches with xG →