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Lokomotiv Moscow

RPL · Russia · season 2026/27 · 14 matches · 2W 5D 7L
Place15 of 16
Points11
xPTS13.6
Δ points − xPTS−2.6
Scored / xG16 / 16.9
Conceded / xGA21 / 26.0

Next match

Rodina Moscow
VS
Lokomotiv Moscow

Rodina Moscow · away, 22 Nov 2026
Win 39% · draw 23% · defeat 37%

The match in numbers →

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

Rodina Moscow 39%Dynamo Makhachkala 36%Akhmat Grozny 21%

What the numbers say

Points. 11 points from 13.6 xPTS (−2.6). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 14th in the league, but 15th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−0.9 goals vs xG).

Attack. 1.21 xG per match — 10th of 16 (league average 1.24): an average attack for this league. Scored 16 goals from 16.9 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.

Defence. 1.86 xGA per match — 15th of 16 for solidity (league average 1.24): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 21 goals from 26.0 xGA — 19% fewer than expected — the luckiest goal in the league. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.19 points per match: expected pace 1.0 points per match vs the current 0.8.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

0714 1 14 round 1: 1:1, Points 1, xPTS 1.0round 2: 1:2, Points 1, xPTS 2.3round 3: 0:0, Points 2, xPTS 3.9round 4: 1:1, Points 3, xPTS 4.1round 5: 2:3, Points 3, xPTS 5.1round 6: 0:1, Points 3, xPTS 5.5round 7: 1:0, Points 6, xPTS 6.6round 8: 1:2, Points 6, xPTS 7.6round 9: 1:1, Points 7, xPTS 7.9round 10: 5:0, Points 10, xPTS 10.5round 11: 3:3, Points 11, xPTS 12.3round 12: 0:2, Points 11, xPTS 12.8round 13: 0:4, Points 11, xPTS 12.9round 14: 0:1, Points 11, xPTS 13.6
Points 11 xPTS 13.6 performance is 2.6 ahead of points

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.79 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.03. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.1 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

OpponentVenueDateWinDrawDefeatExpected points
Rodina Moscowaway2026-11-2239%23%37%1.42
Dynamo Makhachkalahome2026-11-2936%23%41%1.30
Akhmat Groznyaway2026-12-0521%24%55%0.87
Krylia Sovetovaway2027-02-2714%18%67%0.61
CSKA Moscowhome2027-03-0624%20%56%0.93

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Lokomotiv Moscow and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Akhmat Grozny 1:1 Dynamo Makhachkala 1:2 · awayAkron Tolyatti 0:0 Orenburg 1:1 · awayCSKA Moscow 2:3 · awayDynamo Moscow 0:1 Baltika Kaliningrad 1:0 · awayZenit 1:2 · awayKrylia Sovetov 1:1 Fakel Voronezh 5:0 · awayKrasnodar 3:3 Rostov 0:2 · awaySpartak Moscow 0:4 Rubin Kazan 0:1 Rodina Moscow · 11.22Dynamo Makhachkala · 11.29Akhmat Grozny · 12.05Krylia Sovetov · 02.27CSKA Moscow · 03.06

Club players

Vadim RakovSergei PinyaevNikolay KomlichenkoZelimkhan BakaevNikolay TitkovAleksandr Rudenko

Around them in the table

PlaceClubPPointsxPTSΔ
13Rodina Moscow141212.3−0.3
14Akron Tolyatti141214.6−2.6
15Lokomotiv Moscow141113.6−2.6
16Fakel Voronezh14612.5−6.5

Full RPL xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league

ZenitDynamo MoscowSpartak MoscowKrasnodarCSKA MoscowRostovKrylia SovetovRubin KazanBaltika KaliningradOrenburgDynamo MakhachkalaAkhmat GroznyRodina MoscowAkron TolyattiFakel Voronezh