Fakel Voronezh — Orenburg 0:0

Fakel Voronezh

0:0

Orenburg

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.45.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Fakel Voronezh	0	0.74	−0.7	0.99
Orenburg	0	1.19	−1.2	1.70

Goals

There were no goals in this match.

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
59'	Vyacheslav Yakimov	Fakel Voronezh	0.27	hit the woodwork, header
71'	Axel Gnapi	Fakel Voronezh	0.13	off target, header, from a set piece
19'	Ruslan Kul	Orenburg	0.12	blocked

Shots: Fakel Voronezh 9, Orenburg 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Fakel Voronezh 0.04, Orenburg 0.40: a small edge for Orenburg. In the second half xG was Fakel Voronezh 0.69, Orenburg 0.77: about even. Orenburg scored 0 from 1.19 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Fakel Voronezh: −6.5 for the season (16 in the table). Orenburg: −3.3 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Akhmat Grozny — Rostov 4:1CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow 3:2

All RPL matches with xG →