Akhmat Grozny — Rostov 4:1

Akhmat Grozny

4:1

Rostov

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Akhmat Grozny was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Akhmat Grozny	4	1.14	+2.9	1.75
Rostov	1	0.64	+0.4	0.94

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
4'	George Melkadze	Akhmat Grozny	0.39	Arsen Adamov
39'	Timur Suleymanov	Rostov	0.05	Konstantin Kuchaev
58'	George Melkadze	Akhmat Grozny	0.04	Lechii Sadulaev
67'	Turpal-Ali Ibishev	Akhmat Grozny	0.05	Lechii Sadulaev
77'	Lechii Sadulaev	Akhmat Grozny	0.09	Kirill Shchetinin

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
4'	George Melkadze	Akhmat Grozny	0.39	goal
8'	Egas Cacintura	Akhmat Grozny	0.14	off target
32'	George Melkadze	Akhmat Grozny	0.14	off target

Shots: Akhmat Grozny 12, Rostov 17; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Akhmat Grozny 0.73, Rostov 0.13: a small edge for Akhmat Grozny. In the second half xG was Akhmat Grozny 0.42, Rostov 0.50: about even. Akhmat Grozny scored 4 from 1.14 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Akhmat Grozny: −4.1 for the season (12 in the table). Rostov: +2.2 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Fakel Voronezh — Orenburg 0:0CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow 3:2

All RPL matches with xG →