The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Akhmat Grozny was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat Grozny | 4 | 1.14 | +2.9 | 1.75 |
| Rostov | 1 | 0.64 | +0.4 | 0.94 |
Akhmat Grozny: −1.5 for the season (10 in the table). Rostov: −1.6 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.