Fakel Voronezh — Zenit 0:1

Fakel Voronezh

0:1

Zenit

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Zenit was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Fakel Voronezh	0	0.31	−0.3	0.36
Zenit	1	1.82	−0.8	2.44

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
91'	Alexander Sobolev (penalty)	Zenit	0.75

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
40'	Felipe Augusto	Zenit	0.15	off target
78'	Alexander Sobolev	Zenit	0.15	hit the woodwork
24'	Matvey Bardachev	Fakel Voronezh	0.10	off target, header, from a corner

Shots: Fakel Voronezh 8, Zenit 21; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Fakel Voronezh 0.24, Zenit 0.59: a small edge for Zenit. In the second half xG was Fakel Voronezh 0.08, Zenit 1.21: a clear edge for Zenit. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Fakel Voronezh: −6.5 for the season (16 in the table). Zenit: +5.4 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Krasnodar — Rostov 1:0Lokomotiv Moscow — Dynamo Moscow 0:1Akhmat Grozny — Krylia Sovetov 3:3

All RPL matches with xG →