The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Dynamo Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 0.58 | −0.6 | 0.50 |
| Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 1.95 | −0.9 | 2.30 |
Lokomotiv Moscow: −0.9 for the season (14 in the table). Dynamo Moscow: +3.5 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.