Lokomotiv Moscow — Dynamo Moscow 0:1

Lokomotiv Moscow

0:1

Dynamo Moscow

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Dynamo Moscow was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lokomotiv Moscow	0	0.58	−0.6	0.50
Dynamo Moscow	1	1.95	−0.9	2.30

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
72'	Maksim Osipenko (penalty)	Dynamo Moscow	0.75

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
15'	Ivan Sergeev	Dynamo Moscow	0.60	saved
22'	Aleksandr Rudenko	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.28	saved
50'	Ivan Sergeev	Dynamo Moscow	0.15	off target, header

Shots: Lokomotiv Moscow 8, Dynamo Moscow 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lokomotiv Moscow 0.43, Dynamo Moscow 0.81: a small edge for Dynamo Moscow. In the second half xG was Lokomotiv Moscow 0.16, Dynamo Moscow 1.14: a clear edge for Dynamo Moscow. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Lokomotiv Moscow: −2.6 for the season (15 in the table). Dynamo Moscow: +7.3 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Fakel Voronezh — Zenit 0:1Krasnodar — Rostov 1:0Akhmat Grozny — Krylia Sovetov 3:3

All RPL matches with xG →