Akhmat Grozny — Krylia Sovetov 3:3

Akhmat Grozny

3:3

Krylia Sovetov

RPL · 29 Aug 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score3:3

Home xG1.17Akhmat Grozny

Away xG1.09Krylia Sovetov

Expected points1.42 : 1.30

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.08.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Akhmat Grozny	3	1.17	+1.8	1.42
Krylia Sovetov	3	1.09	+1.9	1.30

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
14'	Ivan Oleynikov	Krylia Sovetov	0.07	Martin Kramaric
35'	Lechii Sadulaev	Akhmat Grozny	0.08
37'	Egas Cacintura	Akhmat Grozny	0.04	Lechii Sadulaev
45'	Nikita Chernov	Krylia Sovetov	0.29	Yuri Gorshkov
59'	George Melkadze	Akhmat Grozny	0.51	Egas Cacintura
71'	Ivan Oleynikov	Krylia Sovetov	0.04	Maksim Vityugov

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
59'	George Melkadze	Akhmat Grozny	0.51	goal
28'	Martin Kramaric	Krylia Sovetov	0.36	saved
45'	Nikita Chernov	Krylia Sovetov	0.29	goal, header, from a corner

Shots: Akhmat Grozny 14, Krylia Sovetov 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Akhmat Grozny 0.50, Krylia Sovetov 0.94: a small edge for Krylia Sovetov. In the second half xG was Akhmat Grozny 0.68, Krylia Sovetov 0.16: a small edge for Akhmat Grozny. The edge in chances passed from Krylia Sovetov to Akhmat Grozny. Akhmat Grozny scored 3 from 1.17 xG: well above what they created. Krylia Sovetov scored 3 from 1.09 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.