The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Fakel Voronezh created more (1.70 xG against 1.19) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 3 | 1.19 | +1.8 | 1.05 |
| Fakel Voronezh | 2 | 1.70 | +0.3 | 1.71 |
Krasnodar: +7.4 for the season (1 in the table). Fakel Voronezh: −5.6 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.