Krasnodar — Fakel Voronezh 3:2

Krasnodar

3:2

Fakel Voronezh

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Fakel Voronezh created more (1.70 xG against 1.19) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Krasnodar	3	1.19	+1.8	1.04
Fakel Voronezh	2	1.70	+0.3	1.72

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
3'	Jubal	Krasnodar	0.17	Lucas Olaza
26'	Nikita Krivtsov	Krasnodar	0.10	Christian
58'	Nikita Krivtsov	Krasnodar	0.13	Batxi
84'	Maksim Turischev	Fakel Voronezh	0.06	Nikolay Giorgobiani
87'	Aleksey Sutormin	Fakel Voronezh	0.35	Belajdi Pusi

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
87'	Aleksey Sutormin	Fakel Voronezh	0.35	goal
75'	Batxi	Krasnodar	0.30	saved
3'	Jubal	Krasnodar	0.17	goal, header, from a set piece

Shots: Krasnodar 11, Fakel Voronezh 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Krasnodar 0.60, Fakel Voronezh 0.10: a small edge for Krasnodar. In the second half xG was Krasnodar 0.59, Fakel Voronezh 1.58: a clear edge for Fakel Voronezh. The edge in chances passed from Krasnodar to Fakel Voronezh. Krasnodar scored 3 from 1.19 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Krasnodar: +6.6 for the season (4 in the table). Fakel Voronezh: −6.5 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Orenburg — Zenit 0:3Akhmat Grozny — Spartak Moscow 1:2

All RPL matches with xG →