Orenburg — Zenit 0:3

Orenburg

0:3

Zenit

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Zenit was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Orenburg	0	0.55	−0.6	1.07
Zenit	3	0.81	+2.2	1.54

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
5'	Maksim Glushenkov	Zenit	0.21	Pedro Henrique
57'	Maksim Glushenkov	Zenit	0.03
65'	Maksim Glushenkov	Zenit	0.09	Jhon Jhon

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
5'	Maksim Glushenkov	Zenit	0.21	goal
93'	Andrey Mostovoy	Zenit	0.16	saved
70'	Alexandre Jesus	Orenburg	0.10	off target

Shots: Orenburg 13, Zenit 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Orenburg 0.20, Zenit 0.44: about even. In the second half xG was Orenburg 0.33, Zenit 0.36: about even. Zenit scored 3 from 0.81 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Orenburg: −3.3 for the season (10 in the table). Zenit: +5.4 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Krasnodar — Fakel Voronezh 3:2Akhmat Grozny — Spartak Moscow 1:2

All RPL matches with xG →