The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Spartak Moscow was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0.86 | +0.1 | 1.19 |
| Spartak Moscow | 2 | 1.04 | +1.0 | 1.49 |
Akhmat Grozny: −1.5 for the season (10 in the table). Spartak Moscow: +0.7 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.