Orenburg — Rostov 2:1

Orenburg

2:1

Rostov

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Orenburg was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Orenburg	2	1.57	+0.4	2.09
Rostov	1	0.59	+0.4	0.66

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
46'	Viktor Melekhin	Rostov	0.02	Andrey Langovich
83'	Ruslan Kul	Orenburg	0.45	Andrey Kasadzhikov
93'	Andrey Kasadzhikov	Orenburg	0.07

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
52'	Renat Golybin	Orenburg	0.48	off target, header, from a set piece
83'	Ruslan Kul	Orenburg	0.45	goal, header, from a corner
70'	Damián Puebla	Orenburg	0.36	off target

Shots: Orenburg 9, Rostov 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Orenburg 0.10, Rostov 0.24: about even. In the second half xG was Orenburg 1.48, Rostov 0.36: a clear edge for Orenburg.

How it fits the season

Orenburg: −3.3 for the season (10 in the table). Rostov: +2.2 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Lokomotiv Moscow — Akhmat Grozny 1:1Rubin Kazan — Krasnodar 1:3

All RPL matches with xG →