The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Krasnodar was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin Kazan | 1 | 0.78 | +0.2 | 0.35 |
| Krasnodar | 3 | 2.85 | +0.1 | 2.52 |
Rubin Kazan: +1.7 for the season (6 in the table). Krasnodar: +7.4 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.