Rubin Kazan — Krasnodar 1:3

Rubin Kazan

1:3

Krasnodar

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Krasnodar was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Rubin Kazan	1	0.78	+0.2	0.35
Krasnodar	3	2.85	+0.1	2.52

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
11'	Mirlind Daku	Rubin Kazan	0.29	Evgeni Staver
50'	Juan Manuel Boselli	Krasnodar	0.04
52'	Nikita Krivtsov	Krasnodar	0.41	Juan Manuel Boselli
93'	Christian	Krasnodar	0.33

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
91'	Nikita Krivtsov	Krasnodar	0.65	saved
52'	Nikita Krivtsov	Krasnodar	0.41	goal
75'	Batxi	Krasnodar	0.37	off target

Shots: Rubin Kazan 5, Krasnodar 19; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 6.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Rubin Kazan 0.58, Krasnodar 0.26: a small edge for Rubin Kazan. In the second half xG was Rubin Kazan 0.20, Krasnodar 2.71: a big edge for Krasnodar. The edge in chances passed from Rubin Kazan to Krasnodar.

How it fits the season

Rubin Kazan: +2.1 for the season (8 in the table). Krasnodar: +6.6 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Orenburg — Rostov 2:1Lokomotiv Moscow — Akhmat Grozny 1:1

All RPL matches with xG →