Lokomotiv Moscow — Akhmat Grozny 1:1

Lokomotiv Moscow

1:1

Akhmat Grozny

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Akhmat Grozny created more (2.18 xG against 1.59) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lokomotiv Moscow	1	1.59	−0.6	1.05
Akhmat Grozny	1	2.18	−1.2	1.74

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
7'	Zelimkhan Bakaev	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.31
82'	Erald Maksuti	Akhmat Grozny	0.03

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
24'	Turpal-Ali Ibishev	Akhmat Grozny	0.53	saved, from a set piece
90'	Gerzino Nyamsi	Lokomotiv Moscow	0.48	off target
34'	Lechii Sadulaev	Akhmat Grozny	0.44	blocked

Shots: Lokomotiv Moscow 16, Akhmat Grozny 21; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lokomotiv Moscow 0.81, Akhmat Grozny 1.25: a small edge for Akhmat Grozny. In the second half xG was Lokomotiv Moscow 0.77, Akhmat Grozny 0.94: about even. Akhmat Grozny scored 1 from 2.18 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Lokomotiv Moscow: −2.6 for the season (15 in the table). Akhmat Grozny: −4.1 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Orenburg — Rostov 2:1Rubin Kazan — Krasnodar 1:3

All RPL matches with xG →