The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Akhmat Grozny created more (2.18 xG against 1.59) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1.59 | −0.6 | 1.05 |
| Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 2.18 | −1.2 | 1.74 |
Lokomotiv Moscow: −0.9 for the season (14 in the table). Akhmat Grozny: −1.5 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.