Rostov — Fakel Voronezh 3:1

Rostov

3:1

Fakel Voronezh

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Rostov was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Rostov	3	1.66	+1.3	2.20
Fakel Voronezh	1	0.51	+0.5	0.56

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
55'	Alexey Mironov	Rostov	0.45	Olakunle Olusegun
58'	Konstantin Kuchaev	Rostov	0.04	Timur Suleymanov
63'	Oumar Sako	Rostov	0.49	Alexey Mironov
88'	Aleksandr Koksharov	Fakel Voronezh	0.07

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
63'	Oumar Sako	Rostov	0.49	goal, header, from a corner
13'	Viktor Melekhin	Rostov	0.47	off target, header, from a corner
55'	Alexey Mironov	Rostov	0.45	goal

Shots: Rostov 9, Fakel Voronezh 9; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Rostov 0.51, Fakel Voronezh 0.26: about even. In the second half xG was Rostov 1.15, Fakel Voronezh 0.26: a clear edge for Rostov. Rostov scored 3 from 1.66 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Rostov: +2.2 for the season (6 in the table). Fakel Voronezh: −6.5 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Krylia Sovetov — Krasnodar 2:2Zenit — CSKA Moscow 1:2

All RPL matches with xG →