The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Rostov was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostov | 3 | 1.66 | +1.3 | 2.20 |
| Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 0.51 | +0.5 | 0.57 |
Rostov: −1.6 for the season (12 in the table). Fakel Voronezh: −5.6 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.