The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Zenit created more (1.91 xG against 1.85) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 1 | 1.91 | −0.9 | 1.43 |
| CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1.85 | +0.1 | 1.36 |
Zenit: +2.9 for the season (5 in the table). CSKA Moscow: +3.1 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.