Zenit — CSKA Moscow 1:2

Zenit

1:2

CSKA Moscow

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Zenit created more (1.91 xG against 1.85) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Zenit	1	1.91	−0.9	1.43
CSKA Moscow	2	1.85	+0.1	1.36

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
52'	Ivan Oblyakov (penalty)	CSKA Moscow	0.75
83'	Alexander Sobolev	Zenit	0.02	Luiz Henrique
97'	Ivan Oblyakov	CSKA Moscow	0.56

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
17'	Alexander Sobolev	Zenit	0.57	off target
97'	Ivan Oblyakov	CSKA Moscow	0.56	goal
59'	Alexander Sobolev	Zenit	0.13	blocked

Shots: Zenit 20, CSKA Moscow 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Zenit 1.28, CSKA Moscow 0.00: a clear edge for Zenit. In the second half xG was Zenit 0.63, CSKA Moscow 1.90: a clear edge for CSKA Moscow. The edge in chances passed from Zenit to CSKA Moscow.

How it fits the season

Zenit: +5.4 for the season (1 in the table). CSKA Moscow: +2.7 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Krylia Sovetov — Krasnodar 2:2Rostov — Fakel Voronezh 3:1

All RPL matches with xG →