The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.29.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 2 | 1.45 | +0.6 | 1.20 |
| Krasnodar | 2 | 1.74 | +0.3 | 1.57 |
Krylia Sovetov: −1.6 for the season (9 in the table). Krasnodar: +7.4 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.