Krylia Sovetov — Krasnodar 2:2

Krylia Sovetov

2:2

Krasnodar

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.29.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Krylia Sovetov	2	1.45	+0.6	1.20
Krasnodar	2	1.74	+0.3	1.57

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
2'	Jhon Córdoba	Krasnodar	0.58	Dmitry Vorobyev
16'	Batxi	Krasnodar	0.04	Lucas Olaza
54'	Amar Rahmanovic	Krylia Sovetov	0.30	Ivan Oleynikov
78'	Amar Rahmanovic	Krylia Sovetov	0.49	Ivan Oleynikov

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
2'	Jhon Córdoba	Krasnodar	0.58	goal, header, from a corner
4'	Jhon Córdoba	Krasnodar	0.50	saved
78'	Amar Rahmanovic	Krylia Sovetov	0.49	goal

Shots: Krylia Sovetov 12, Krasnodar 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Krylia Sovetov 0.35, Krasnodar 1.36: a clear edge for Krasnodar. In the second half xG was Krylia Sovetov 1.10, Krasnodar 0.38: a small edge for Krylia Sovetov. The edge in chances passed from Krasnodar to Krylia Sovetov.

How it fits the season

Krylia Sovetov: −4.0 for the season (7 in the table). Krasnodar: +6.6 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Zenit — CSKA Moscow 1:2Rostov — Fakel Voronezh 3:1

All RPL matches with xG →