Spartak Moscow
Next match
Dynamo MakhachkalaSpartak MoscowDynamo Makhachkala · away, 22 Nov 2026
Win 58% · draw 22% · defeat 20%
Fixture difficulty
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A kind run.
What the numbers say
Points. 29 points from 27.5 xPTS (+1.5). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 1st in the league, but 3rd in the table. Points match the quality of play. On top of that, finishing runs above expectation (+1.0 vs xG) and fewer goals conceded than expected (−1.5 vs xGA).
Attack. 1.86 xG per match — 1st of 16 (league average 1.24): creates more in front of goal than anyone in the league. Scored 27 goals from 26.0 xG — finishing is on par. 2nd in the league for goals per match.
Defence. 0.89 xGA per match — 2nd of 16 for solidity (league average 1.24): allows few chances near its own goal. Conceded 11 goals from 12.5 xGA — 12% fewer than expected. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.
Playing to its level. Points (29) are close to the quality of play (27.5 xPTS).
Round by round
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Fixtures and forecast
Current pace is 2.07 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.99. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 9.9 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Makhachkala | away | 2026-11-22 | 58% | 22% | 20% | 1.96 |
 Fakel Voronezh | away | 2026-11-30 | 68% | 21% | 12% | 2.24 |
 Dynamo Moscow | home | 2026-12-05 | 54% | 24% | 21% | 1.88 |
 Krasnodar | away | 2027-02-27 | 50% | 25% | 24% | 1.77 |
 Akron Tolyatti | away | 2027-03-06 | 62% | 23% | 15% | 2.09 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Spartak Moscow and it will write when results and performance diverge.
The season so far
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.
Rodina Moscow 3:0 
Akhmat Grozny 2:1 · awayKrasnodar 1:2 
Baltika Kaliningrad 2:1 · away
Zenit 2:0 
Orenburg 1:1 Dynamo Moscow 1:2 · away
Rostov 3:0 Fakel Voronezh 1:0 
Krylia Sovetov 1:1 · away
Rubin Kazan 4:0 
CSKA Moscow 0:2 · away
Lokomotiv Moscow 4:0 · awayAkron Tolyatti 2:1 Dynamo Makhachkala · 11.22Fakel Voronezh · 11.30Dynamo Moscow · 12.05Krasnodar · 02.27Akron Tolyatti · 03.06Club players
Around them in the table
| Place | Club | P | Points | xPTS | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 14 | 31 | 25.6 | +5.4 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 14 | 31 | 23.7 | +7.3 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 29 | 27.5 | +1.5 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 14 | 26 | 19.4 | +6.6 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 14 | 26 | 23.3 | +2.7 |