Krylia Sovetov — Baltika Kaliningrad 0:2

Krylia Sovetov

0:2

Baltika Kaliningrad

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Baltika Kaliningrad was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Krylia Sovetov	0	0.30	−0.3	0.48
Baltika Kaliningrad	2	1.45	+0.6	2.26

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
2'	Eldar Civic	Baltika Kaliningrad	0.07	Aymane Mourid
80'	Brayan Gil	Baltika Kaliningrad	0.34	Sergey Varatynov

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
43'	Nikolay Titkov	Baltika Kaliningrad	0.53	hit the woodwork, header
80'	Brayan Gil	Baltika Kaliningrad	0.34	goal
83'	Chinedu Geoffrey	Krylia Sovetov	0.14	off target, header, from a corner

Shots: Krylia Sovetov 6, Baltika Kaliningrad 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Krylia Sovetov 0.05, Baltika Kaliningrad 0.70: a small edge for Baltika Kaliningrad. In the second half xG was Krylia Sovetov 0.25, Baltika Kaliningrad 0.73: a small edge for Baltika Kaliningrad. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Krylia Sovetov: −4.0 for the season (7 in the table). Baltika Kaliningrad: −6.1 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Lokomotiv Moscow — Akron Tolyatti 0:0Rostov — CSKA Moscow 0:0

All RPL matches with xG →